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Cloudflare, Inc. (NET)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered a revenue beat and in-line EPS: revenue $479.1M (+27% YoY) vs S&P Global consensus $469.7M; non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.16 vs $0.163 consensus. Bold revenue beat reflects accelerating large-account momentum, while EPS was essentially in line given rounding and FX headwinds. *
- Management highlighted record commercialization milestones: Cloudflare’s largest-ever >$100M Workers-led contract and longest-term SASE deal, with double‑digit YoY sales productivity improvement and faster sales cycles despite larger deal sizes. These wins underpin reacceleration efforts.
- Q2 2025 guidance: revenue $500–$501M, non‑GAAP operating income $62.5–$63.5M, non‑GAAP diluted EPS $0.18 (≈364M shares). FY 2025 guidance maintained at revenue $2.090–$2.094B, non‑GAAP operating income $272–$276M, non‑GAAP diluted EPS $0.79–$0.80.
- Key stock-relevant narratives: expanding enterprise adoption (large customer cohorts), Workers AI traction (AI inference requests +~4,000% YoY; AI Gateway requests +~1,200% YoY), and architectural security advantage in defending hyper-volumetric DDoS—balanced by macro volatility and a modest YoY gross margin decline (mix/allocations).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Signed Cloudflare’s largest contract ever (> $100M) driven by Workers; added record numbers of $1M+ and $5M+ customers; $479.1M revenue up 27% YoY; non‑GAAP operating income $56.0M (11.7% margin). “Innovation wins… From networking, to security, to AI” (CEO).
- Workers/AI momentum: Workers AI inference requests +~4,000% YoY; AI Gateway requests +~1,200% YoY; Cloudflare advancing MCP servers enabling AI agents—selected by notable logos (Stripe, Atlassian, Block, PayPal, Sentry).
- SASE/Zero Trust wins and government traction: longest-duration SASE contract; competitive displacements vs first‑gen vendors based on global performance and unified platform breadth.
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin declined YoY: non‑GAAP 77.1% vs 79.5% in Q1’24; CFO cited paid vs free traffic mix and cost allocation shifts; depreciation anniversary effects also noted.
- GAAP net loss widened modestly YoY to $(38.5)M; FX remeasurement losses reduced diluted non‑GAAP EPS by ~$0.01 this quarter.
- Macro/prudent stance: Management emphasized volatility (tariffs, geopolitics); maintained FY guide (not raised) despite strong ACV and pipeline to balance growth and profitability (40% rule).
Financial Results
Results vs S&P Global consensus (current quarter):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Geography mix and growth:
KPIs:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We landed the largest contract in Cloudflare’s history, a more than $100 million deal driven by our Workers developer platform, and signed the longest‑term SASE contract to date.”
- “Gross margin was 77.1%, again above our long‑term target of 75% to 77%… operating profit of $56 million (11.7%), and strong free cash flow of $52.9 million.”
- On DDoS defense: “Every single server… runs every function… our out is always significantly higher than our in. Even at hyperscale attacks, in never exceeds out… we can defend without passing costs on to customers.”
- On guidance philosophy: “Our North Star… is the 40% rule… we will continue to reinvest where data points us.”
- On MCP/AI agents: “We’re building the first, fastest and most powerful MCP server… great companies like Stripe, Atlassian, Block… are adopting our approach.”
Q&A Highlights
- Margins and investment cadence: Management balances growth with margin under a rolling “40% rule,” reinvesting in GTM where ROI is strong; Q2/FY tax rate set at 20%.
- Sales execution: Double‑digit YoY sales productivity increases; ramping capacity expected to accelerate; territory and incentive structures pivot to consumption in pool‑of‑funds deals.
- Security posture: Architectural advantage in DDoS mitigation at hyperscale leading to referrals and wins in financial services and other verticals.
- SASE wins: Competitive displacements vs first‑gen vendors due to performance, unified platform, and bundling; notable gov wins in US/APAC and Europe.
- AI commercialization: Workers AI’s efficiency vs hyperscalers (utilization, pay‑per‑inference) and MCP leadership position Cloudflare at the center of agentic Internet workloads.
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 revenue beat: Actual $479.1M vs consensus $469.7M; EPS essentially in line at $0.16 vs $0.163; counts: 27 revenue, 25 EPS estimates.*
- Implications: Large‑deal momentum and platform breadth may push FY revenue estimates higher; EPS estimates likely stable near-term given margin mix, FX noise, and reinvestment pace (GTM/AI infrastructure).*
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue reacceleration supported by enterprise scale: large cohort mix at 69% of revenue, record $1M+ and $5M+ customer adds, and faster cycles despite larger deals.
- Workers AI is becoming a commercial engine: >$100M deal; efficiency and utilization advantages vs hyperscalers should sustain price/performance leadership and margin leverage longer-term.
- SASE platform differentiation: Unified architecture and global performance drive competitive displacements and longer‑duration contracts; public sector momentum (FedRAMP High without network fragmentation).
- Security moat: DDoS defense at hyperscale without incremental cost strengthens brand and win rate in sensitive verticals.
- Margin trajectory: Near-term non‑GAAP margins reflect mix/allocations and reinvestment; free cash flow seasonality skewed to 2H (≈two‑thirds) per CFO.
- Guidance stance: Q2 introduced (new) with prudent assumptions; FY maintained—leaves room for upward revisions as consumption/pool‑of‑funds usage normalizes.
- Risks: Macro/geopolitical volatility and tariff dynamics, FX noise, and ongoing mix shifts; execution hinge on sustaining GTM productivity and converting pools into revenue recognitions.
Additional Q1 2025 Press Releases
- Rakuten Mobile partnership as Cloudflare’s first MSSP in Japan to deliver managed Zero Trust and network services—expands channel and SMB reach.
Note: The CEO’s prepared remarks in one transcript instance referenced 20% YoY revenue growth; the official Q1 2025 figure in the press release is +27% YoY. All quantitative assessments above rely on the 8‑K and press release for accuracy.